President Donald Trump is struggling to convince Americans that he’s the right man for the job, enduring record low popularity ratings during his first few months in office. The annual Pew Research Center survey on global attitudes to the U.S. and its president, published on June 26, made for grim reading for Trump. Across the 37 countries surveyed, a median of just 22 per cent had confidence in Trump to do the right thing in international affairs.
Comparably, Trump’s predecessor Barack Obama scored a median of 64 per cent towards the end of his second term.
But in a few countries, Trump seemed to be at least as popular as his predecessor–if not more. One of those countries was Nigeria, the West African nation of 180 million people.
Of the six sub-Saharan African nations surveyed by Pew, Nigeria was the most confident, at 58 per cent, that President Trump would do the right thing in world affairs. This figure was actually the joint-second highest overall–level with Vietnam and behind the Philippines as 69 per cent–and Nigerians expressed more faith in Trump than in Germany’s Angela Merkel, Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian leader Vladimir Putin. More than half of Nigerians said relations between the two countries would improve under Trump, while 55 per cent of Nigerian respondents thought of Trump as “caring about ordinary people”–the highest among all the countries surveyed. By contrast, 23 per cent of Canadians expressed the same sentiment.
Of the six sub-Saharan African nations surveyed by Pew, Nigeria was the most confident, at 58 per cent, that President Trump would do the right thing in world affairs. This figure was actually the joint-second highest overall–level with Vietnam and behind the Philippines as 69 per cent–and Nigerians expressed more faith in Trump than in Germany’s Angela Merkel, Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian leader Vladimir Putin. More than half of Nigerians said relations between the two countries would improve under Trump, while 55 per cent of Nigerian respondents thought of Trump as “caring about ordinary people”–the highest among all the countries surveyed. By contrast, 23 per cent of Canadians expressed the same sentiment.
Nigeria is an extremely diverse country, home to more than 200 ethnicities and a roughly equal split between Christians and Muslims, so it is unlikely that the survey is representative of all Nigerians. Some of the views varied according to their faith: around 70 per cent of Christians in Nigeria expressed confidence in Trump’s international leadership abilities, compared to 46 per cent of Nigerian Muslims.
But on the whole, Trump seems to be viewed positively in Nigeria. Why might that be?
Secessionists Believe Trump Backs Their Cause
An anomaly in Nigeria’s favorable view of Trump is the pro-Biafra movement, which campaigns for secession from Nigeria for a region known as Biafra. The region, in southeast Nigeria, was the subject of a three-year civil war from 1967-1970 after Biafrans declared independence; more than 1 million people died in the conflict.
Pro-Biafran activists lauded Trump’s election victory in November 2016; the wife of Nnamdi Kanu, a leading figure in the secessionist movement, told Newsweek at the time that Trump would “uphold the self-determination rights of the indigenous people of Biafra”. In January, Nigerian police disrupted a rally after hundreds of pro-Biafra activists gathered in southeast Nigeria to celebrate Trump’s inauguration.
Nigerians Like a Strongman Leader
Trump’s regular use of executive orders and flagrant disregard for international condemnation–exemplified in his decision to pull the U.S. out of the Paris climate accords–has already evoked comparisons with archetypal African leaders, including one by South African comic and Daily Show host Trevor Noah.
Trump’s regular use of executive orders and flagrant disregard for international condemnation–exemplified in his decision to pull the U.S. out of the Paris climate accords–has already evoked comparisons with archetypal African leaders, including one by South African comic and Daily Show host Trevor Noah.
Trump is Willing to Sell Nigeria Weapons
Nigeria has been trying to buy attack helicopters from the U.S. since 2015 to expand its air capacity in the fight against Boko Haram. But under Obama, Washington demurred: The Nigerian military have a questionable human rights record and, when a sale looked imminent in early 2017, the country’s air force mistakenly bombed a refugee settlement in northeast Nigeria, killing more than 100 people.
President Buhari is one of the few African leaders to have spoken by phone with Trump. During the conversation in February, Trump “expressed support for the sale of aircraft from the United States to support Nigeria’s fight against Boko Haram”. While there is no indication the sale has gone through yet, the change in tone would have been welcomed in Abuja, Nigeria’s capital.
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